National News

National News is brought to you by a partnership between Crux and RNZ News 

New polls show centre-left bloc could form government

Two new political polls show the left bloc has the numbers to form a government if an election was held today.

Support for National dropped three points to 34 percent in tonight's 1News-Verian poll.

The ACT party had a one-point bump to 9 percent while New Zealand First dropped one point to 5 percent.

Labour is up four points to 33 percent, the Greens are steady on 10 percent and Te Pāti Māori is down three points to 4 percent.

On these results, the left bloc would have 61 seats, the minimum level of support required to form a government.

The results also surveyed economic optimisim, finding it dropped 5 points to 36 percent, compared to Verian's December poll.

Economic pessimism rose three points to 25 percent.

Of those polled, 39 percent said the government was heading in the right direction and 50 percent said the government was going in the wrong direction.

The remaining 11 percent did not know or preferred not to say.

On the preferred prime minister stakes, National's Christopher Luxon dropped two points to 22 percent - his lowest result since taking the top job.

Labour's Chris Hipkins rose two points to 17 percent.

The rest of the leaders were steady with David Seymour and Chlöe Swarbrick on 6 percent, and Winston Peters on 5 percent.

Tonight's 1News Verian poll, taken between 3 and 7 February, surveyed 1000 eligible voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.

It follows a Taxpayers' Union-Curia Poll out this afternoon, which also showed the left bloc is in a position to hold power if an election was held today.

The poll, conducted between 2 and 4 February, had National ever so slightly ahead of Labour - up 2.3 points to 31.9 percent, while Labour is up 0.4 points to 31.3 percent.

The Greens have done the heavy-lifting getting the centre-bloc into a position to govern for the first time since March 2022, up 3.7 points to 13.2 percent.

ACT and New Zealand First were both down to 10 and 6.4 percent respectively, while Te Pāti Māori had a slight dip to 4.4 percentage points.

The Curia poll surveyed 1000 adults with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.

Curia is a longstanding polling company but is no longer a member of the Research Association NZ body.

Support Crux Support Crux